future / forward contract RSS

Posted: 19 March 2010 05:30 AM   [ Ignore ]

Hi David,

I wanted to Refine the source of the difference Between future / forward contract
can i say it because the volatility (convexity adjustment)  - technical reasons
or because more real reasons like, mtm, otc, margin etc…

Best Regards

 
Posted: 22 March 2010 03:46 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]

Hi Convexity,

Hull gives two reasons, however (as i say in the tutorials) I really only ever encounter one of his reasons: the futures contract is marked-to-market daily and this (i) creates a more volatile contract price relative to the equivalent forward contract (more volatile = slightly more risky) and, more importantly, (ii) assuming an exchange-traded future with a margin account, this implies cash flow volatility: either a margin call (cash flow out of pocket) or excess margin that can be withdrawn (cash flow into pocket).

So the futures contract implies a bit of cash flow volatility “at the margin.”  So IMO the essential focused difference is: daily settlement (futures are; forward aren’t)

Hull points out the cash flows are invested asymmetrically in the case of a Eurodollar futures contract (i.e., as rates go higher, margin account is flush and the extra cash is invested at a higher rate; as rates go lower, the margin call is funded at lower rates). Such that the futures price > forward price due the advantage of M2M…
...and this is consistent with the Eurodollar futures rate >> forward rate. In the case of the Eurodollar futures rate, I find it easier to just think “the futures is riskier so the rate must be higher.”

FWIW, brief video here @ http://www.bionicturtle.com/learn/article/convexity_adjustment_for_eurodollar_futures_and_fra_5_min_screencast/

Hope that

 
Posted: 23 March 2010 12:14 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 2 ]

Hi David
Thank you for the clarification ... as usual your explanation is clear ... I wanted to ask another question about exotic options .. I could not understand whether they are included at lvl1 ?
TNX

 
Posted: 23 March 2010 12:22 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 3 ]

Hi Convexity - sure thing. Exotics are level 2; you maybe thinking of option strategies (e.g., straddle) which are level 1. Basically, combining vanilla calls/puts into strategies is level 1. Then, L2 is about non-plain-vanilla options. Thanks, David