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2006 FRM Practice Exams - Geometric Brown Motion
 
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dennis_cmpe
Posted: 06 November 2008 09:05 AM   [ Ignore ]  
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40. In the Geometric Brown Motion process for a variable S,

I. S is normally distributed
II. d ln(S) is normally distributed
III. dS/S is normally distributed
IV. S is lognormally distributed

a. I only
b. II, III and IV
c. IV only
d. III and IV

To answer this question. I noted that:

1) Price levels are lognormally distributed
2) Price returns are normally distributed
3) If the log of a variable is normally distributed, then the variable is lognormally distributed

So this helps me determined that lll and lV are part of the answer. But I don’t understand why ll is part of the answer too. The answer explanation below mentions that dS/S is equal to dln(S). How is this?

ANSWER: B
In the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process for variable S:

dS = ยต S dt + s S dz

From the above relation it follows that dS/S, which is equal to d ln(S), is normally distributed, whereas S is lognormally distributed.

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David Harper, CFA, FRM, CIPM
Posted: 06 November 2008 12:31 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]  
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Hi Dennis,

To be candid, I would have given your answer because it doesn’t say “approximately normal;” i.e., I thought dS/S was only approximately normal and technically lognormal.

I don’t have time to do the research i’d like here, so i posted it to Wilmott:
http://www.wilmott.com/messageview.cfm?catid=8&threadid=66557

Let’s see what they say. Thanks, David

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David Harper, CFA, FRM, CIPM
Posted: 06 November 2008 07:41 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 2 ]  
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Oops, the question is right. I forgot to take the derivative:d lnS = dS/S, so II and III are the same - David

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