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17 Jul

Parametric value at risk (VaR): Pros and cons – 9 min screencast

by David Harper, CFA, FRM, CIPM

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Here is a quick explanation of parametric value at risk (VaR) as a means to illustrating its strengths/weaknesses. Please note:

  • The essence of parametric VaR is "no data:" while historical data is surely used to select a distribution and calibrate its parameters, a parametric VaR leans on a statistical distribution to infer losses
  • In this illustration, I use the normal distribution which is typical. The normal is nice because we only need two parameters (expected return and volatility), but we don't need to use the normal! We can use other distributions; e.g., lognormal.

Screencast:

Comments

  1. Very nice video, but i have one doubt say if I am working on finding the VaR of a portfolio and have monthly data, And I want to scale the VaR over one year time horizon. what should be the ‘dt’ term in the equation.
    Thanks,
    Rob.

  2. Nice Video,
    I have a doubt on how to scale the VaR over one year time horizon. Say I have monthly returns of a portfolio. In this case what will be the term ‘dt’ in the above mention equation.
    Thanks, Rob.

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