BT IS A GREAT BUY!
27 Aug 2008
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Except for a nuance (see below), the following three metrics are the same:
These are all measures that reduce a series of cash-flows into a single, internally consistent return. The yield to maturity (YTM) is merely bond-specific language for the IRR (or as Fabozzi writes "YTM is simply a special case of an IRR").
Consider this example:
The yield to maturity (YMT) is the single internal rate of return that proves the current market price of the bond correct. Specifically, if we discount the future, expected cash flows by a discount rate equal to the YTM, we should get the bond's current price. In this example, we expect six semiannual coupons paying $60 (12% x $1,000 = $120 per year, payable $60 every six months) plus we expect the principal of $1,000 in three years. If that series of cash flows is discounted semi-annually assuming a 6% YTM, the present value of the seven (7) future cash-flows equals about $1,162.
The TI BAII+ calculator keystrokes reflect time value of money (TVM) assumptions. That's okay, bond math is all about the time value of money. See below how the time value of money matches the bond lingo; e.g., the face value of the bond is the 'future value' of the cash flows.
There are three tips to avoiding trouble when you use the calculator to solve for bond prices/yields/payments/etc:
The periodicity is the interval. For bonds, the periodicity is often six months because often coupons pay semiannually. However, simple problems sometime use one year. Also, mortgage bonds use one month because the "coupon" (the mortgage payment) is paid monthly. But, if nothing is given, you are best to assume (i) the periodicity of the coupon payments, or lacking that (ii) six months (semiannual) periods
We've established our periodicity (six months). Next we identify what we are solving for; that is I/Y, which is the yield-to-maturity (YTM).
Then we input four known values...
...and solve for our unknown value (I/Y):
Since we used six months as the periodicity, 3% is the six-month yield to maturity (YTM). However, by convention, we would annualize (double) this to 6%. And we would say the yield-to-maturity is 6%. If you noticed that doubling is inferior to compounding, congratulation! (1.03)(1.03)-1 equals about 6.1% not 6%. Although compounding is technically correct, doubling the six-month yield is the common practice; it is called the bond-equivalent yield.
A more formal expression for YTM is given here. Where P(T) is the market price of a bond, c/2 is the semiannual coupon (i.e., c = annual coupon), and F is the face (principal) value, then (y) is the annual (bond-equivalent) yield to maturity:
I earlier said that YTM = MWR = IRR. This is true except for the following nuance. MWR and IRR often refer to the single historical return that matches historical cash flows. A bond's yield to maturity is forward-looking, so it means "the IRR if the bond is held to maturity" and, here's the nuance, "if the coupons are reinvested at the same YTM."
In our example above, we are implicitly assuming the coupons are reinvested to earn 6% annually. In the intervening three years, rates may shift, and our realized return may vary from our YTM, even if we hold the bond to maturity. Our TYM will be 6% if and only if our coupons are reinvested at 6%.
27 Aug 2008
26 Aug 2008
26 Aug 2008
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SIncerely,
BOA and Sirojiddin
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