#### jyothi1965

##### New Member

No of students registered for FRM 2006 - 8007 (as on last day for Exam registration)

No of students who passed - FRM 2006 - 2283 (by counting the number of IDs - simple just import to Excel and use COUNT)

On the face of it this translates into a pass rate of 28%, which is not correct, because there would be no show (students who don't turn up for the exam). I think this will exclude the deferrals as the deadline for this is much earlier (typically in August itself).

So how many people pay the fees and don't turn up for the exam?

Well if you do a sensitivity, the pass rate improves from 28% to 35% assuming a 20% drop out

Drop Outs Pass Rate

20% 35%

25% 38%

30% 41%

35% 43%

40% 47%

My guess is that the drop outs will be between 20%-25% which means that the pass rate is between 35% to 38%.

Now the interesting part.......... (FRM 2007).. let us do a historical simulation using one year's data.

No of students registered for FRM 2007 - 10135 (as on last day for Exam registration- Oct 19th 2007)

If we assume drop rates of 20% and 25% and pass rates of 35% and 38% correspondingly and apply this to 2007 data, the numbers of pass candidates should be:

At 35% pass rate

No of Students passing

20% Drop 2837

25% Drop 2660

At 38% pass rate

No of Students passing

20% Drop 3081

25% Drop 2888

Thus the number of people passing is likely to be between 2660 and 3081. This is based on:

The level of difficulty of FRM 2007 is relatively the same

The level of preparation of FRM 2007 candidates is relatively the same

Any takers for these HS results?

Jyothi